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Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen40%YesNo
David Lisnard15%YesNo
Jean-Luc Mélenchon13%YesNo
Édouard Philippe12%YesNo
Christine Lagarde8%YesNo
François Hollande3%YesNo
Jordan Bardella3%YesNo
Raphaël Glucksmann2%YesNo
Dominique de Villepin2%YesNo
Bruno Retailleau1%YesNo
Éric Zemmour1%YesNo
François Baroin1%YesNo
Gabriel Attal1%YesNo
Sarah Knafo<1%YesNo
Xavier Bertrand<1%YesNo
François Asselineau<1%YesNo
Sébastien Lecornu<1%YesNo
François Ruffin<1%YesNo
Laurent Wauquiez<1%YesNo
Marine Tondelier<1%YesNo
Fabien Roussel<1%YesNo
Olivier Faure<1%YesNo
Ségolène Royal<1%YesNo
Clémentine Autain<1%YesNo
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%YesNo
Michel Barnier<1%YesNo
Valérie Pécresse<1%YesNo
François Bayrou<1%YesNo
Élisabeth Borne<1%YesNo
Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%YesNo
Jean Castex<1%YesNo
Gérald Darmanin<1%YesNo
Carole Delga<1%YesNo
Bernard Cazeneuve<1%YesNo
Manuel Bompard<1%YesNo
Mathilde Panot<1%YesNo
Juan Branco<1%YesNo
Clémence Guetté<1%YesNo
Karim Bouamrane<1%YesNo
Lucie Castets<1%YesNo
Yannick Jadot<1%YesNo
Marion Maréchal<1%YesNo
Natacha Polony<1%YesNo
Anasse Kazib<1%YesNo
Sylvain Durif<1%YesNo
$165.2M Vol.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot55%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu27%YesNo
Naftali Bennett5%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman4%YesNo
Yossi Cohen1%YesNo
Amir Ohana1%YesNo
Israel Katz<1%YesNo
Yair Lapid<1%YesNo
Benny Gantz<1%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar<1%YesNo
Yair Golan<1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir<1%YesNo
Ofer Winter<1%YesNo
Aviv Kohavi<1%YesNo
Yariv Levin<1%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin<1%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked<1%YesNo
Yoaz Hendel<1%YesNo
Nir Barkat<1%YesNo
Daniel Hagari<1%YesNo
Gilad Erdan<1%YesNo
$85.6M Vol.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%
chance
YesNo
$77.4M Vol.
Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%YesNo
March 31, 20276%YesNo
December 31, 20262%YesNo
July 31, 20260%YesNo
August 31, 20260%YesNo
September 30, 20260%YesNo
$31.6M Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

5%
chance
YesNo
$29.3M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%
chance
YesNo
$45.7M Vol.
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Gadi Eizenkot94%YesNo
Benjamin Netanyahu5%YesNo
Naftali Bennett<1%YesNo
Yair Lapid<1%YesNo
Benny Gantz<1%YesNo
Avigdor Lieberman<1%YesNo
Yossi Cohen<1%YesNo
Yair Golan<1%YesNo
Itamar Ben Gvir<1%YesNo
Gideon Sa’ar<1%YesNo
Yariv Levin<1%YesNo
Moshe Feiglin<1%YesNo
Ayelet Shaked<1%YesNo
Yoaz Hendel<1%YesNo
Israel Katz<1%YesNo
Nir Barkat<1%YesNo
Amir Ohana<1%YesNo
Gilad Erdan<1%YesNo
Ofer Winter<1%YesNo
$710.1K Vol.
Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson64%YesNo
Ulf Kristersson29%YesNo
Ebba Busch4%YesNo
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist<1%YesNo
Jimmie Åkesson<1%YesNo
Anna-Karin Hatt<1%YesNo
Nooshi Dadgostar<1%YesNo
Simona Mohamsson<1%YesNo
Amanda Lind<1%YesNo
Daniel Helldén<1%YesNo
$10.8M Vol.
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%
chance
YesNo
$1.6M Vol.
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

21%
chance
YesNo
$161.8K Vol.
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE93%YesNo
No Talks by December 31, 20273%YesNo
USA3%YesNo
Turkey2%YesNo
Switzerland1%YesNo
Hungary<1%YesNo
Ukraine<1%YesNo
Other - Middle East/North Africa<1%YesNo
China<1%YesNo
Russia<1%YesNo
Germany<1%YesNo
Saudi Arabia<1%YesNo
Qatar<1%YesNo
Vatican City<1%YesNo
Italy<1%YesNo
Austria<1%YesNo
Slovakia<1%YesNo
Finland<1%YesNo
Belarus<1%YesNo
Kazakhstan<1%YesNo
India<1%YesNo
Poland<1%YesNo
Serbia<1%YesNo
Azerbaijan<1%YesNo
Egypt<1%YesNo
Brazil<1%YesNo
South Africa<1%YesNo
Other - Europe<1%YesNo
Other<1%YesNo
$181.5K Vol.
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3113%YesNo
November 306%YesNo
November 152%YesNo
December 31, 20250%YesNo
October 310%YesNo
August 310%YesNo
March 310%YesNo
June 300%YesNo
$13.1M Vol.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 312%YesNo
June 300%YesNo
January 310%YesNo
March 310%YesNo
February 280%YesNo
April 300%YesNo
May 310%YesNo
$22.4M Vol.
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China89%YesNo
No meeting by December 3111%YesNo
United States1%YesNo
Other<1%YesNo
Russia<1%YesNo
Switzerland<1%YesNo
Turkey<1%YesNo
Gulf country<1%YesNo
Belarus<1%YesNo
Finland<1%YesNo
South Korea<1%YesNo
Japan<1%YesNo
Australia<1%YesNo
Other EU country<1%YesNo
Ukraine<1%YesNo
$2.2M Vol.
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

2%
chance
YesNo
$16.9M Vol.
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

10%
chance
YesNo
$3.6M Vol.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202739%YesNo
June 30, 202722%YesNo
March 31, 20276%YesNo
December 31, 20264%YesNo
November 30, 20261%YesNo
September 30, 20260%YesNo
October 31, 20260%YesNo
$3.1M Vol.
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

June 30, 202741%YesNo
March 31, 202728%YesNo
December 3120%YesNo
May 310%YesNo
July 310%YesNo
March 310%YesNo
June 300%YesNo
April 300%YesNo
$125M Vol.
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei89%YesNo
No Head of State3%YesNo
Alireza Arafi3%YesNo
Reza Pahlavi2%YesNo
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf1%YesNo
Hassan Rouhani<1%YesNo
Ahmad Vahidi<1%YesNo
Hassan Khomeini<1%YesNo
Maryam Rajavi<1%YesNo
Masoud Pezeshkian<1%YesNo
Abbas Araghchi<1%YesNo
Muhammad Mirbaqiri<1%YesNo
Sadegh Larijani<1%YesNo
Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani<1%YesNo
Hassan Shariatmadari<1%YesNo
Massoud Rajavi<1%YesNo
Seyed Hossein Mousavian<1%YesNo
Reza Pirzadeh<1%YesNo
Navid Shomali<1%YesNo
Mustafa Hijri<1%YesNo
Ali Motahari<1%YesNo
Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel<1%YesNo
Mostafa Pourmohammadi<1%YesNo
Sadegh Mahsouli<1%YesNo
Saeed Jalili<1%YesNo
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad<1%YesNo
Mohammad Khatami<1%YesNo
Mohsen Araki<1%YesNo
Nasir Hosseini<1%YesNo
Ali Asghar Hejazi<1%YesNo
Mohammad Pakpour0%YesNo
Ali Larijani0%YesNo
$40.7M Vol.
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20277%YesNo
December 312%YesNo
June 300%YesNo
$4.6M Vol.

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