Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 2027June 30, 2027March 31, 2027December 31, 2026

OutcomeChance

December 31, 2027

39%▲ 1%

June 30, 2027

20%▼ 5%

March 31, 2027

6%▼ 6%

December 31, 2026

4%▲ 1%

November 30, 2026Closed

1%

September 30, 2026Closed

0%

October 31, 2026Closed

0%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Volume: $3.1M
End date: Jan 1, 2027