Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.6M Vol.· Ends Jan 1, 2027

4% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Volume: $1.6M
End date: Jan 1, 2027