Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez FeijóoPedro SánchezSantiago AbascalIsabel Díaz Ayuso

OutcomeChance

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

87%▲ 2%

Pedro Sánchez

10%▼ 2%

Santiago AbascalClosed

1%▼ 1%

Isabel Díaz AyusoClosed

<1%

Carlos CuerpoClosed

<1%

María Jesús MonteroClosed

<1%

Yolanda DíazClosed

<1%

Ernest UrtasunClosed

<1%

Aitor EstebanClosed

<1%

Miguel TelladoClosed

<1%

Ester MuñozClosed

<1%

Pepa MillánClosed

<1%

Rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume: $2.7M
End date: Nov 30, 2026