Lider Iranu koniec 2026 roku?

Lider Iranu koniec 2026 roku?

$40,7 mln Wol.· Kończy się 31 gru 2026
Mojtaba KhameneiBrak głowy państwaAlireza ArafiReza Pahlavi
WynikSzansa
Mojtaba Khamenei
89%▲ 3%
Brak głowy państwa
4%
Alireza Arafi
3%
Reza PahlaviZamknięty
2%
Mohammad-Bagher GhalibafZamknięty
1%
Hassan RouhaniZamknięty
<1%
Ahmad VahidiZamknięty
<1%
Hassan KhomeiniZamknięty
<1%
Maryam RadżawiZamknięty
<1%
Masoud PezeshkianZamknięty
<1%
Abbas AraghchiZamknięty
<1%
Muhammad MirbaqiriZamknięty
<1%

Zasady

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Wolumen
$40,7 mln
Data zakończenia
31 gru 2026

O23 — rynki predykcyjne wydarzeń na świecie.

Wyświetlane kursy są orientacyjnymi wskazaniami rynku i mogą zmienić się w dowolnym momencie. W niektórych regionach handel jest ograniczony.

© 2026 O23. Wszelkie prawa zastrzeżone.