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Fed Decision in December?

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase79%TakNie

No change21%TakNie

50+ bps increase1%TakNie

25 bps decrease<1%TakNie

50+ bps decrease<1%TakNie

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

No change75%TakNie

25 bps decrease26%TakNie

50+ bps decrease<1%TakNie

25 bps increase<1%TakNie

50+ bps increase<1%TakNie

$309,1 tys. Wol.

Ile obniżek stawek Fed w 2026 r.?

Ile obniżek stawek Fed w 2026 r.?

0 (0 pb)98%TakNie

1 (25 pb)1%TakNie

3 (75 pb)<1%TakNie

2 (50 pb)<1%TakNie

4 (100 pb)<1%TakNie

12+ (300+ pb)<1%TakNie

5 (125 pb)<1%TakNie

6 (150 pb)<1%TakNie

7 (175 pb)<1%TakNie

8 (200 pb)<1%TakNie

9 (225 pb)<1%TakNie

10 (250 pb)<1%TakNie

11 (275 pb)<1%TakNie

Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep & Gas hits $3.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas93%TakNie

Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.506%TakNie

No Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.50<1%TakNie

No Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas<1%TakNie

$45,3 tys. Wol.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Pause-Hike-Pause71%TakNie

Pause-Pause-Hike13%TakNie

Pause-Pause-Pause7%TakNie

Pause-Hike-Hike6%TakNie

Hike-Pause-Hike0%TakNie

Hike-Pause-Pause0%TakNie

Hike-Hike-Hike0%TakNie

Hike-Hike-Pause0%TakNie

$146,7 tys. Wol.

Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase99%TakNie

No change1%TakNie

50+ bps increase<1%TakNie

50+ bps decrease<1%TakNie

25 bps decrease<1%TakNie

$476,4 tys. Wol.

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

Dem sweep & US recession by end of 2027?

Dem sweep; No recession65%TakNie

Dem sweep; Recession35%TakNie

No Dem sweep; Recession<1%TakNie

No Dem sweep; No recession<1%TakNie

$29,4 tys. Wol.

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

No Change95%TakNie

25 bps decrease5%TakNie

50+ bps decrease<1%TakNie

50+ bps increase<1%TakNie

25 bps increase<1%TakNie

$157,9 tys. Wol.

Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep & Gas hits $4.50 by end of 2026?

Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas70%TakNie

Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.5030%TakNie

No Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.50<1%TakNie

No Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas<1%TakNie

$21,4 tys. Wol.