中国会在2026年底入侵台湾吗?

中国会在2026年底入侵台湾吗?

交易量 $4567.9万· 2027年1月1日 截止
2% 概率

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

交易量
$4567.9万
截止日期
2027年1月1日

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