谁将在2027年之前宣布总统竞选？
菲尔·墨菲罗恩·德桑蒂斯拉姆·伊曼纽尔安迪·贝希尔
选项概率
菲尔·墨菲
47%▲ 34%
罗恩·德桑蒂斯
41%▲ 31%
拉姆·伊曼纽尔
32%▼ 11%
安迪·贝希尔
23%▼ 10%
拉斐尔·沃诺克
17%▼ 16%
皮特·布蒂吉格
12%▼ 8%
图尔西·加巴德
11%▼ 7%
加文·纽森
9%▼ 4%
马克·凯利
8%▼ 1%
塔克·卡尔森
7%▲ 3%
史蒂夫·班农
7%▲ 4%
泰德·克鲁兹
7%
规则
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- 交易量
- $131.8万
- 截止日期
- 2027年1月1日