共和党将赢得哪些参议院摇摆州？（构建您的地图）

无阿拉斯加全部7个阿拉斯加，爱荷华，堪萨斯，缅因，密歇根，俄亥俄

选项概率

无已关闭

85%▲ 51%

阿拉斯加已关闭

16%▲ 14%

全部7个已关闭

<1%▼ 4%

阿拉斯加，爱荷华，堪萨斯，缅因，密歇根，俄亥俄已关闭

<1%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯、缅因、密歇根、德克萨斯已关闭

<1%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯、缅因、俄亥俄、德克萨斯已关闭

<1%▼ 2%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯、密歇根、俄亥俄、德克萨斯已关闭

<1%▼ 1%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、缅因、密歇根、俄亥俄、德克萨斯已关闭

<1%

阿拉斯加、堪萨斯、缅因、密歇根、俄亥俄、德克萨斯已关闭

<1%

爱荷华州、堪萨斯州、缅因州、密歇根州、俄亥俄州、德克萨斯州已关闭

<1%▼ 1%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯、缅因、密歇根已关闭

<1%

阿拉斯加、爱荷华、堪萨斯、缅因、俄亥俄已关闭

<1%▼ 1%

规则

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

交易量: $7718.7万
截止日期: 2026年11月3日