下届法国总统选举

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞大卫·利斯纳德让-吕克·梅朗雄爱德华·菲利普

选项概率

分组项标题：玛丽娜·勒庞

40%

大卫·利斯纳德

16%▲ 1%

让-吕克·梅朗雄

13%▼ 2%

爱德华·菲利普

12%

克里斯蒂娜·拉加德

7%▼ 1%

Raphaël Glucksmann已关闭

3%

分组项标题：乔丹·巴德拉拉已关闭

2%

弗朗索瓦·奥朗德已关闭

2%

多米尼克·德维尔潘已关闭

1%

Bruno Retailleau已关闭

1%

埃里克·泽穆尔已关闭

1%

加布里埃尔·阿塔尔已关闭

1%

规则

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

交易量: $1.7亿
截止日期: 2027年4月19日