2026年美联储降息多少次？

0（0 基点）1 (25 个基点)3（75 个基点）2（50个基点）

选项概率

0（0 基点）已关闭

98%

1 (25 个基点)已关闭

1%

3（75 个基点）已关闭

<1%

2（50个基点）已关闭

<1%

4（100 基点）已关闭

<1%

12+ (300+ 基点)已关闭

<1%

5（125个基点）已关闭

<1%

6（150个基点）已关闭

<1%

分组项标题：7（175 个基点）已关闭

<1%

8（200 个基点）已关闭

<1%

9（225 个基点）已关闭

<1%

分组项标题：10（250 个基点）已关闭

<1%

规则

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

交易量: $5544.4万
截止日期: 2027年1月1日