誰將在2027年之前宣布總統競選？

羅恩·德桑蒂斯Rahm Emanuel拉斐爾·沃諾克安迪·比希爾

選項機率

羅恩·德桑蒂斯

40%▲ 30%

Rahm Emanuel

32%▼ 10%

拉斐爾·沃諾克

27%▼ 4%

安迪·比希爾

25%▼ 7%

菲爾·墨菲

14%▲ 2%

Pete Buttigieg

12%▼ 8%

加文·紐森

9%▼ 4%

馬克·凱利

8%▼ 2%

格倫·楊金

8%

塔克·卡爾森

7%▲ 3%

史蒂夫·班農

7%▲ 4%

泰德·克魯茲

7%

規則

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

成交量: $131萬
截止日期: 2027年1月1日