下屆法國總統選舉

下屆法國總統選舉

成交量 $1.7億· 2027年4月19日 截止
瑪琳·勒龐大衛·利斯納爾讓-呂克·梅朗雄埃杜阿爾·菲利普
選項機率
瑪琳·勒龐
40%
大衛·利斯納爾
15%▼ 1%
讓-呂克·梅朗雄
13%▲ 1%
埃杜阿爾·菲利普
12%
克莉絲汀·拉加德
8%
弗朗索瓦·奧朗德已關閉
2%
喬丹·巴爾德拉已關閉
2%
拉斐爾·格呂克斯曼已關閉
2%▼ 1%
多米尼克·德維爾潘已關閉
2%
埃里克·澤穆爾已關閉
1%
布魯諾·赫泰約已關閉
1%
Gabriel Attal已關閉
1%

規則

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

成交量
$1.7億
截止日期
2027年4月19日

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