次の寓話モデル( 5.2以上)は... ?

次の寓話モデル( 5.2以上)は... ?

出来高 $133.4万· 2026年12月31日 終了
12月31日11月30日11月19日11月12日
結果確率
12月31日
94%▼ 2%
11月30日
80%▼ 6%
11月19日
61%▼ 11%
11月12日
42%▼ 8%
11月10日
31%▼ 12%
11月9日
15%▼ 16%
11月6日
7%▼ 9%
11月5日
7%▼ 9%
11月4日終了
3%▼ 4%
10月31日終了
0%▼ 1%
10月10日終了
0%▼ 1%
10月24日終了
0%▼ 1%

ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

出来高
$133.4万
終了日
2026年12月31日

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