¿El liderazgo de Irán cambia por...?
30 de junio de 202731 de diciembre30 de noviembre30 de septiembre
ResultadoProbabilidad
30 de junio de 2027
27%▼ 1%
31 de diciembre
10%▼ 4%
30 de noviembre
5%▼ 2%
30 de septiembreCerrado
0%
31 de julioCerrado
0%
31 de agostoCerrado
0%
15 de agostoCerrado
0%
22 de agostoCerrado
0%
31 de octubreCerrado
0%
13 de marzoCerrado
0%
31 de marzoCerrado
0%
30 de abrilCerrado
0%▼ 1%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- Volumen
- $28,9 M
- Fecha de cierre
- 1 jul 2027