Die USA erneuern die Sanktionserleichterung für Iran-Ölverkäufe bis zum...?

Die USA erneuern die Sanktionserleichterung für Iran-Ölverkäufe bis zum...?

$510.223,6 Vol.· Endet 1. Jan. 2027
31. Dezember30. November
ErgebnisChance
31. Dezember
39%▲ 2%
30. November
19%▼ 2%

Regeln

On July 7, 2026, the United States revoked a sanctions waiver, “General License X,” which allowed for the sale of Iranian oil (see: https://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/5957647-iran-oil-sanctions-waiver-strait-of-hormuz/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government issues a waiver, license, or equivalent sanctions-relief mechanism lifting US sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which direct partial or full sanction relief will both qualify. However, qualifying actions must reverse, remove, waive, or suspend US penalties on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products, in whole or in part. Qualifying actions need not be permanent; temporary suspensions of sanctions will qualify. Relief issued for either primary or secondary sanctions will qualify. A re-issuance of the initial waiver will qualify. The full removal of any sanction on the sale of Iranian oil, petrochemical products, or petroleum products will also qualify. Continued sales of Iranian oil allowed during the wind-down period under this revocation order will not qualify. Mere extensions of the wind-down period, without issuance of a new qualifying sanctions-relief action, will not qualify. Once a qualifying sanctions relief action has been taken, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent revocation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government.

Volumen
$510.223,6
Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027

O23 — Prognosemärkte zu Weltereignissen.

Die angezeigten Quoten sind Markteinschätzungen und können sich jederzeit ändern. In einigen Regionen ist der Handel eingeschränkt.

© 2026 O23. Alle Rechte vorbehalten.